Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 07/10, 14:30
Prediction: Ustiniya Lekomtseva vs Andrea Lola Popovic
Team pages: Ustiniya Lekomtseva · Andrea Lola Popovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Andrea Lola Popovic
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
5-5 (W-L)
Andrea Lola Popovic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ustiniya Lekomtseva 1471 · Andrea Lola Popovic 1513
| Ustiniya Lekomtseva | Andrea Lola Popovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Lola Popovic (rating 1471 vs 1513).
- Note: Ustiniya Lekomtseva makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Ustiniya Lekomtseva | Andrea Lola Popovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.7 | 9.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 54.1% |
| Break % | 60% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 15/07 | Sophie Luescher W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Teodora Vlajic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Semra Aksu W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Sofiia Bielinska W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hana Shabanpour W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Andrea Lola Popovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Antonina Sushkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Timea Gross W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Bianca Compuesto W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Polina Skopintseva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Stefanie Auer W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Viktoria Veleva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Amy Sucha W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/04 | Isabella Shinikova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ustiniya Lekomtseva vs Andrea Lola Popovic?
Our model gives 53% to Andrea Lola Popovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.