Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 16/10, 09:00
Prediction: Iva Marinkovic vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Team pages: Iva Marinkovic · Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Iva Marinkovic
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Iva Marinkovic
8-2 (W-L)
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iva Marinkovic 1523 · Ustiniya Lekomtseva 1502
| Iva Marinkovic | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Iva Marinkovic makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Ustiniya Lekomtseva makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Iva Marinkovic | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.1 | 10.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 5 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iva Marinkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/10 | Sofia Martianova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Andrea Lola Popovic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Andrea Roots W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Olga Danilova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 11/09 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Zeel Desai W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Ulyana Hrabavets W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 13/05 | Sarah Van Emst W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Fleur de Bresser W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Roots W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Andrea Lola Popovic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 15/07 | Sophie Luescher W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Teodora Vlajic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iva Marinkovic vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva?
Our model gives 56% to Iva Marinkovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.