Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 07/10, 11:30
Prediction: Jade Groen vs Ayline Esina Samardzic
Team pages: Jade Groen · Ayline Esina Samardzic
Prediction summary
Winner
Jade Groen
Ayline Esina Samardzic
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jade Groen
8-2 (W-L)
Ayline Esina Samardzic
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jade Groen 1570 · Ayline Esina Samardzic 1441
| Jade Groen | Ayline Esina Samardzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jade Groen (rating 1570 vs 1441).
- Jade Groen is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ayline Esina Samardzic makes many double faults (8.9/match).
Statistics
| Jade Groen | Ayline Esina Samardzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-7.6 | 7.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 8.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 41% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jade Groen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Yuliya Hatouka W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Sandra Samir W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Leonie Rabl W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Valeriia Derevyankina W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Annemarie Lazar UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 17/09 | Emmy Mueller UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/09 | Lea Fojcik UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Diana Marcinkevica UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Julia Victoria Rennert UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ayline Esina Samardzic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Ksenia Meshcheryakova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Ana Grubor W15 Pecs |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Angella Okutoyi W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 0-7 | L |
| 19/08 | Scarlet Kavanagh W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Aurora Zurmuehle W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Cristina Elena Tiglea W50 Horb |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Lan Mi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Julia Khramtsova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jade Groen vs Ayline Esina Samardzic?
Our model gives 80% to Jade Groen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.