Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 07/10, 11:30
Prediction: Alyssa Reguer vs Victoria Kapcia
Team pages: Alyssa Reguer
Prediction summary
Winner
Alyssa Reguer
Victoria Kapcia
Estimated games
18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alyssa Reguer
6-4 (W-L)
Victoria Kapcia
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alyssa Reguer 1474 · Victoria Kapcia 1456
| Alyssa Reguer | Victoria Kapcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alyssa Reguer makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Victoria Kapcia makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Alyssa Reguer | Victoria Kapcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-8.5 | 7.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alyssa Reguer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Mathilde Lollia W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Saoirse Breen W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 10/09 | Anastasia Efremova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Marie Weckerle W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 02/09 | Joody Elkady W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 9-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Katarina Kujovic W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Romane Longueville W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Annika Barth W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Victoria Kapcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Valeria Monko W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Ivana Sebestova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Sonja Wedenski W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Aya El Sayed W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Agata Prepslova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/05 | Mariam Atia W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Marie Lou Peyre W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/03 | Isabella Shinikova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Iva Ivanova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/12 | Mariam Atia W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alyssa Reguer vs Victoria Kapcia?
Our model gives 69% to Alyssa Reguer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.