Tennis · M15 Burgas · 08/10, 09:00
Prediction: Mattia Nannelli vs Alexander Vasilev
Team pages: Alexander Vasilev
Prediction summary
Winner
Mattia Nannelli
Alexander Vasilev
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mattia Nannelli
3-7 (W-L)
Alexander Vasilev
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mattia Nannelli 1429 · Alexander Vasilev 1477
| Mattia Nannelli | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Vasilev (rating 1429 vs 1477).
- Alexander Vasilev is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Alexander Vasilev makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Mattia Nannelli | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.2 | 8.4-10 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 62% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 33.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mattia Nannelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Rodion Chetverikov M15 Burgas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Andrea Paolini M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/09 | David Tixhon M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/03 | Mariano Tammaro M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 25/02 | Sandro Kopp M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/02 | Noah Perfetti M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Edoardo Zanada ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/11 | Massimo Giunta ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Darius Florin Pop ITF M15 Castellon · Clay |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
Alexander Vasilev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Mihail Ivanov M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Clement Chidekh M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Luc Fomba M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Herve Antchandie M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Marat Sharipov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/08 | George Lazarov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mihailo Savic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mattia Nannelli vs Alexander Vasilev?
Our model gives 70% to Alexander Vasilev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.