Tennis · M15 Burgas · 08/10, 09:00

Prediction: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Giannicola Misasi

Team pages: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini · Giannicola Misasi

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini Giannicola Misasi
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLLW
Giannicola Misasi 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1527 · Giannicola Misasi 1489
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniGiannicola Misasi
Our model55%45%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (6.1/match).

Statistics

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniGiannicola Misasi
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.71.3-1
Games (G-P)11.4-8.811.2-8.5
Aces1.51.9
Double faults6.11.7
1st serve %68.2%66.1%
Break %43%51.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

WWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Jannik Maute
M15 Burgas
2-0 10-1 W
21/09 Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
16/09 Alexander Weis
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
15/09 Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
14/09 Mattias Pisanu
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
10/09 Kirill Kivattsev
M15 Budapest
2-1 18-17 W
09/09 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Budapest
2-0 13-9 W
08/09 Marko Retelj
M15 Budapest
2-0 12-5 W
04/09 Lorenzo Berto
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 Luca Castagnola
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Giannicola Misasi

LLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Aleksandar Mitev
M15 Burgas
2-0 12-5 W
30/09 Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
1-2 15-13 L
28/09 Valentino Grippo
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/09 Gianmarco Ferrari
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
16/09 Max Hans Rehberg
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
01/09 Matei Florin Breazu
M15 Buzau
1-2 10-13 L
27/08 Gabriel Ghetu
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
26/08 Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Federico Valle
M15 Arad
2-0 12-3 W
18/08 Matei Marius Partal
M15 Arad
2-0 12-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Giannicola Misasi?

Our model gives 56% to Giannicola Misasi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.