Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 10:00
Prediction: Deborah Chiesa vs Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
Team pages: Deborah Chiesa · Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
Prediction summary
Winner
Deborah Chiesa
Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Deborah Chiesa
5-5 (W-L)
Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deborah Chiesa 1444 · Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide 1612
| Deborah Chiesa | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide (rating 1444 vs 1612).
- Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide makes many double faults (8/match).
Statistics
| Deborah Chiesa | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12.2 | 12-7.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 55% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deborah Chiesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Diana Martynov WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Eva Bennemann W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Andreea Prisacariu WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Federica Trevisan W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Natalia Siedliska UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Leonie Schuknecht UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Leah Luboldt UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Leticia Romanova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Mia Keuler UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Jade Groen UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Anna Ozerova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Leonie Schuknecht UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Leah Luboldt UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deborah Chiesa vs Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide?
Our model gives 56% to Deborah Chiesa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.