Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 10:00
Prediction: Agnese Gentili vs Carla Giambelli
Team pages: Agnese Gentili · Carla Giambelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Agnese Gentili
Carla Giambelli
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Agnese Gentili
7-3 (W-L)
Carla Giambelli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Agnese Gentili 1526 · Carla Giambelli 1473
| Agnese Gentili | Carla Giambelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Agnese Gentili (rating 1526 vs 1473).
Statistics
| Agnese Gentili | Carla Giambelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-8.2 | 9.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 60.5% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Agnese Gentili
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Maria Toma W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Federica Bilardo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Elza Tomase W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Federica Trevisan W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Serena Paris W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Noemi Maines W15 Fiano Romano |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/09 | Marta Lombardini W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Sveva Pieroni W15 Fiano Romano |
1-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Gaia Mais W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Carla Giambelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Charlotte Pikkaart W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Carolina Gasparini W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Elza Tomase W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Alessia Antici W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Venla Ahti W15 Hameenlinna |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Manon Favier W15 Hameenlinna |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Yufei Ren WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Ilary Pistola W35 Torino |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Agnese Gentili vs Carla Giambelli?
Our model gives 53% to Agnese Gentili, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.