Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 10:00
Prediction: Francesca Gandolfi vs Matilde Paoletti
Team pages: Francesca Gandolfi · Matilde Paoletti
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Gandolfi
Matilde Paoletti
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Gandolfi
6-4 (W-L)
Matilde Paoletti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Gandolfi 1528 · Matilde Paoletti 1548
| Francesca Gandolfi | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francesca Gandolfi makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Gandolfi | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9 | 12.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Gandolfi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Federica Bilardo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Verena Meliss W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/09 | Celeste Faustini W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Federica Trevisan W15 Fiano Romano |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Sofia Shapatava W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Gloria De Santis W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Caterina Odorizzi W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Matilde Paoletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Maria Toma W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Sophie Greiner W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Gabriela Ce W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Sophie Triquart W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 15/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Gandolfi vs Matilde Paoletti?
Our model gives 67% to Matilde Paoletti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.