Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 07/10, 20:00
Prediction: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Massimo Giunta
Team pages: Gianluca Cadenasso · Massimo Giunta
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianluca Cadenasso
Massimo Giunta
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Gianluca Cadenasso
5-5 (W-L)
Massimo Giunta
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianluca Cadenasso 1500 · Massimo Giunta 1547
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Massimo Giunta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Massimo Giunta (rating 1500 vs 1547).
- Gianluca Cadenasso dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 40.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Massimo Giunta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.8 | 12.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianluca Cadenasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Federico Cina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/05 | Liam Broady French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 02/05 | Matteo Arnaldi Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
Massimo Giunta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianluca Cadenasso vs Massimo Giunta?
Our model gives 53% to Gianluca Cadenasso, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.