Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Noemi La Cagnina vs Nuria Brancaccio
Team pages: Noemi La Cagnina · Nuria Brancaccio
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi La Cagnina
Nuria Brancaccio
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi La Cagnina
4-6 (W-L)
Nuria Brancaccio
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi La Cagnina 1510 · Nuria Brancaccio 1469
| Noemi La Cagnina | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noemi La Cagnina (rating 1510 vs 1469).
- Note: Noemi La Cagnina makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Noemi La Cagnina | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-9 | 10.9-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 65.7% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi La Cagnina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Summer Yardley W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Maria Rentoumi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Sherin Scheerle W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/09 | Anastasia Preda W15 Campulung |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Cecilia Manitto W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Sophie Greiner W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sophie Luescher W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 08/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Milica Stosovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Nuria Brancaccio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Julia Grabher WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Despina Papamichail WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Cagla Buyukakcay W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Mia Ristic W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi La Cagnina vs Nuria Brancaccio?
Our model gives 72% to Nuria Brancaccio, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.