Tennis · W35 Monastir · 07/10, 10:30
Prediction: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Oriana Gniewkowska
Team pages: Zuzanna Pawlikowska · Oriana Gniewkowska
Prediction summary
Winner
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Oriana Gniewkowska
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
7-3 (W-L)
Oriana Gniewkowska
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
1–0
Oriana Gniewkowska
(1 last)
- 20 Aug2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zuzanna Pawlikowska 1556 · Oriana Gniewkowska 1497
| Zuzanna Pawlikowska | Oriana Gniewkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zuzanna Pawlikowska (rating 1556 vs 1497).
- Head-to-head: Zuzanna Pawlikowska 1–0 Oriana Gniewkowska (1).
Statistics
| Zuzanna Pawlikowska | Oriana Gniewkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.6 | 9.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Zuzanna Pawlikowska 1 – 0 Oriana Gniewkowska (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zuzanna Pawlikowska 1–0 Oriana Gniewkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 W35 Krakow | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Esther Adeshina W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Ksenia Smirnova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Liana Dvalishvili W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/09 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Kateryna Diatlova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexandra Cheishvili W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Daria Kuczer W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Oriana Gniewkowska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Nour Sahnoun W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Julia Adams W15 Radom |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Emily Appleton W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Miriana Tona W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Klara Kajabova W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Oriana Gniewkowska?
Our model gives 74% to Zuzanna Pawlikowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.