Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Dunja Maric vs Vittoria Paganetti
Team pages: Dunja Maric · Vittoria Paganetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Dunja Maric
Vittoria Paganetti
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Dunja Maric
7-3 (W-L)
Vittoria Paganetti
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dunja Maric 1547 · Vittoria Paganetti 1550
| Dunja Maric | Vittoria Paganetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (8.3/match).
Statistics
| Dunja Maric | Vittoria Paganetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.9 | 11.5-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 8.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunja Maric
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Emma Mazzoni W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Alessandra Mazzola W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Galena Krastenova W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Amelia Paszun W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Nikol Ivanova W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Denislava Glushkova W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Andzhelina Kostova W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Vittoria Paganetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Alena Kovackova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Romane Longueville W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Oceane Babel W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Beatrice Stagno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Galena Krastenova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Sofija Milenkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunja Maric vs Vittoria Paganetti?
Our model gives 52% to Vittoria Paganetti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.