Tennis · UTR Pro San Diego · 07/10, 20:30
Prediction: Finn Willman vs Botond Nagy
Team pages: Finn Willman
Prediction summary
Winner
Finn Willman
Botond Nagy
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Finn Willman
3-7 (W-L)
Botond Nagy
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Finn Willman 1396 · Botond Nagy 1491
| Finn Willman | Botond Nagy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botond Nagy (rating 1396 vs 1491).
- Botond Nagy is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Finn Willman | Botond Nagy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-12.2 | 10.5-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | – |
| Double faults | 3.8 | – |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | – |
| Break % | 30.8% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Finn Willman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Dinko Dinev UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Evan Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Otto Schreiner UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/12 | Preston Brown ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/12 | Christian Langmo ITF M15 Hamilton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/12 | Cody Atkinson ITF M15 Hamilton |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/12 | Kosuke Shibano ITF M15 Hamilton |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Botond Nagy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Dinko Dinev UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Merse Deli UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Filip Soderqvist UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Nikola Keremedchiev UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Peter Sallay UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/06 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Sebastian Harrison UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Mate Valkusz UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Darius Florin Pop UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Finn Willman vs Botond Nagy?
Our model gives 73% to Botond Nagy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.