Tennis · UTR Pro San Diego · 08/10, 23:00
Prediction: Lambert Ruland vs Manvydas Balciunas
Team pages: Lambert Ruland · Manvydas Balciunas
Prediction summary
Winner
Lambert Ruland
Manvydas Balciunas
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lambert Ruland
7-3 (W-L)
Manvydas Balciunas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lambert Ruland 1562 · Manvydas Balciunas 1475
| Lambert Ruland | Manvydas Balciunas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lambert Ruland (rating 1562 vs 1475).
- Lambert Ruland is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lambert Ruland | Manvydas Balciunas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.5 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-7.6 | 11.5-12.6 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lambert Ruland
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Connor Robb-Wilcox UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | William Kleege UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Valentin Faure M15 Strasbourg |
0-1 | 5-8 | L |
| 26/07 | Gregoire Delattre M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Flynn Thomas M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Alex Huszar M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Aleksander Chayka M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Leonardo Taddia M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Manvydas Balciunas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Connor Robb-Wilcox UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Jan Kobierski UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Sander Jong M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Abel Forger M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/07 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Stijn Hofman M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Sander Jong M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lambert Ruland vs Manvydas Balciunas?
Our model gives 54% to Lambert Ruland, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.