Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 06/10, 10:30
Prediction: Maria Toma vs Agnese Gentili
Team pages: Maria Toma · Agnese Gentili
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Toma
Agnese Gentili
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Toma
4-6 (W-L)
Agnese Gentili
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Toma 1459 · Agnese Gentili 1500
| Maria Toma | Agnese Gentili | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Agnese Gentili (rating 1459 vs 1500).
- Note: Maria Toma makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Maria Toma | Agnese Gentili | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11 | 8.9-8.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 59.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Toma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Iveta Dapkute W50 Evora |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Alena Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Sevil Yuldasheva W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Xinyu Gao W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Esther Lopez Alcaraz W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Aranai Martinez Quintana W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Agnese Gentili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Federica Bilardo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Elza Tomase W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Federica Trevisan W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Serena Paris W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Noemi Maines W15 Fiano Romano |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/09 | Marta Lombardini W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Sveva Pieroni W15 Fiano Romano |
1-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Gaia Mais W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 28/07 | Cristina Elena Tiglea W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Toma vs Agnese Gentili?
Our model gives 55% to Maria Toma, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.