Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 06/10, 10:30
Prediction: Francesca Gandolfi vs Federica Bilardo
Team pages: Francesca Gandolfi · Federica Bilardo
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Gandolfi
Federica Bilardo
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Gandolfi
5-5 (W-L)
Federica Bilardo
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Gandolfi
0–2
Federica Bilardo
(2 last)
- 10 Oct0-2 2-12L
- 17 Nov0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Gandolfi 1513 · Federica Bilardo 1454
| Francesca Gandolfi | Federica Bilardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Gandolfi (rating 1513 vs 1454).
- Head-to-head: Francesca Gandolfi 0–2 Federica Bilardo (2).
- Note: Francesca Gandolfi makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Gandolfi | Federica Bilardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.6 | 8-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 53.4% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Francesca Gandolfi 0 – 2 Federica Bilardo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Gandolfi 0–2 Federica Bilardo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/23 ITF W25 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/11/22 ITF W15 Solarino | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Gandolfi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Verena Meliss W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/09 | Celeste Faustini W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Federica Trevisan W15 Fiano Romano |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Sofia Shapatava W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Gloria De Santis W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Caterina Odorizzi W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Chloe Noel W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
Federica Bilardo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Martina Colmegna W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Agnese Gentili W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Celeste Faustini W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlotta Bassotti Others · Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Julie Pastikova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Iga Piotrowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Dunja Maric W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Maria Garcia Cid W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Gandolfi vs Federica Bilardo?
Our model gives 59% to Francesca Gandolfi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.