Tennis · M15 Pontevedra · 06/10, 13:30

Prediction: Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado vs Julio Cesar Porras

Team pages: Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado · Julio Cesar Porras

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado Julio Cesar Porras
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLWL
Julio Cesar Porras 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado 1476 · Julio Cesar Porras 1531
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes TiradoJulio Cesar Porras
Our model42%58%
Market16%84%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julio Cesar Porras (rating 1476 vs 1531).

Statistics

Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes TiradoJulio Cesar Porras
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (8) –
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.4-0.9
Games (G-P)9-10.711-11.2
Aces1.11
Double faults2.92.7
1st serve %61.8%60.9%
Break %42.3%50.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 David Naharro
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/09 Luis Garcia Paez
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
1-2 7-12 L
30/07 Matt Kuhar
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
29/07 Volodymyr Gurenko
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-1 18-14 W
23/07 Mwendwa Mbithi
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/07 Kether Naresh Gonzalez Gonzalez
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
01/05 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/04 Volodymyr Gurenko
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
2-1 13-8 W
28/04 Cesar Cruz
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
22/04 Jerry Roddick
M25 Xalapa · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Julio Cesar Porras

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Raphael Perot
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
0-2 3-12 L
04/08 Benjamin Pietri
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
1-2 10-13 L
26/07 Clement Lemire
M15 Rognac
2-0 14-11 W
25/07 Alexandre Reco
M15 Rognac
2-0 13-9 W
24/07 Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Rognac
2-1 15-16 W
22/07 Maxime Chazal
M15 Rognac
2-1 13-16 W
21/07 Ntungamili Raguin
M15 Rognac
2-0 12-7 W
20/07 Victor Barreira Bonzom
M15 Rognac
2-0 12-4 W
10/06 Matei Florin Breazu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L
26/05 Nazar Oliynykov
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
0-1 7-8 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado vs Julio Cesar Porras?

Our model gives 72% to Julio Cesar Porras, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.