Tennis · M15 Pontevedra · 06/10, 15:00
Prediction: Alejandro Garcia vs Tomas Curras Abasolo
Team pages: Alejandro Garcia · Tomas Curras Abasolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Garcia
Tomas Curras Abasolo
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Garcia
4-6 (W-L)
Tomas Curras Abasolo
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Garcia 1524 · Tomas Curras Abasolo 1386
| Alejandro Garcia | Tomas Curras Abasolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Garcia (rating 1524 vs 1386).
- Alejandro Garcia is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alejandro Garcia makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Garcia | Tomas Curras Abasolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.2-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10 | 6.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Luis Garcia Paez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexander Petrov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Ivan Lopez Martos M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Xavi Palomar M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Tomas Curras Abasolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Philip Henning M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Santander |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Porto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Julian Alonso M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Vic |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Garcia vs Tomas Curras Abasolo?
Our model gives 58% to Alejandro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.