Tennis · M15 Burgas · 07/10, 09:30

Prediction: Michel Hopp vs Francesco Ferrari

Team pages: Michel Hopp · Francesco Ferrari

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Michel Hopp Francesco Ferrari
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Michel Hopp 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLWLLWL
Francesco Ferrari 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Michel Hopp 1529 · Francesco Ferrari 1486
Michel HoppFrancesco Ferrari
Our model56%44%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michel Hopp (rating 1529 vs 1486).

Statistics

Michel HoppFrancesco Ferrari
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 71% (7) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.3-10.9-1.3
Games (G-P)11.6-1110.2-12
Aces1.71.5
Double faults1.11.8
1st serve %66.6%58.7%
Break %50.6%44.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Michel Hopp

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
M15 Sibenik
0-2 8-12 L
30/09 Jure Siftar
M15 Sibenik
2-0 12-6 W
08/07 David Fix
M25 Kassel
1-2 12-19 L
04/07 Daniel Siniakov
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
03/07 Oliver Majdandzic
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 11-5 W
02/07 Lasse Poertner
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-1 18-16 W
01/07 Federico Iannaccone
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 11-4 W
26/06 Oleksii Krutykh
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
25/06 Marcus Walters
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
23/06 Nikolai Barsukov
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Francesco Ferrari

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/09 Dmitry Popko
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
25/09 Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
23/09 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-1 15-16 W
06/09 Gianmarco Ferrari
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
19/08 Vlad Cristian Breazu
M15 Arad
0-2 8-13 L
11/08 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Targu Jiu
1-2 12-14 L
06/08 Robert Guna
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
04/08 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
01/08 Stefan Adrian Andreescu
M25 Pitesti
0-2 2-12 L
31/07 Gabriel Ghetu
M25 Pitesti
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Michel Hopp vs Francesco Ferrari?

Our model gives 58% to Michel Hopp, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.