Tennis · UTR Pro San Diego · 08/10, 19:00
Prediction: Finn Willman vs Vincent Marysko
Team pages: Finn Willman · Vincent Marysko
Prediction summary
Winner
Finn Willman
Vincent Marysko
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Finn Willman
2-8 (W-L)
Vincent Marysko
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Finn Willman 1377 · Vincent Marysko 1565
| Finn Willman | Vincent Marysko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 75% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vincent Marysko (rating 1377 vs 1565).
- Vincent Marysko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Finn Willman makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Finn Willman | Vincent Marysko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (8) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-12.8 | 13.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 25.2% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Finn Willman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Botond Nagy UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Dinko Dinev UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Evan Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Otto Schreiner UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/12 | Preston Brown ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/12 | Christian Langmo ITF M15 Hamilton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/12 | Cody Atkinson ITF M15 Hamilton |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Vincent Marysko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Dinko Dinev UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/07 | Alen Mujakic M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 18/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Lasse Poertner M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Tom Sickenberger M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Finn Willman vs Vincent Marysko?
Our model gives 86% to Vincent Marysko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.