Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 06/10, 14:30
Prediction: Ivan Gakhov vs Yanaki Milev
Team pages: Ivan Gakhov · Yanaki Milev
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Gakhov
Yanaki Milev
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Gakhov
9-1 (W-L)
Yanaki Milev
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ivan Gakhov
1–0
Yanaki Milev
(1 last)
- 27 Aug2-1 16-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Gakhov 1521 · Yanaki Milev 1568
| Ivan Gakhov | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanaki Milev (rating 1521 vs 1568).
- Yanaki Milev is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ivan Gakhov 1–0 Yanaki Milev (1).
Statistics
| Ivan Gakhov | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.3 | 13.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 48% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
H2H · Ivan Gakhov 1 – 0 Yanaki Milev (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ivan Gakhov 1–0 Yanaki Milev
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/26 M25 Oviedo | 2-1 | 16-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Gakhov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Xavi Palomar M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Oliwier Sterniczuk Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Yanaki Milev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Kirill Kivattsev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Gakhov vs Yanaki Milev?
Our model gives 51% to Yanaki Milev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.