Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 06/10, 14:30
Prediction: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino
Team pages: Christian Langmo · Lorenzo Giustino
Prediction summary
Winner
Christian Langmo
Lorenzo Giustino
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Christian Langmo
3-7 (W-L)
Lorenzo Giustino
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Christian Langmo 1483 · Lorenzo Giustino 1553
| Christian Langmo | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Giustino (rating 1483 vs 1553).
- Lorenzo Giustino is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Christian Langmo | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.7 | 12.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 8.7 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Christian Langmo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/10 | Dominik Recek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Lorenzo Giustino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | John Sperle Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 25/09 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Grigor Dimitrov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Henry Bernet Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/08 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Our model gives 66% to Lorenzo Giustino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.