Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 06/10, 11:30
Prediction: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Filippo Moroni
Team pages: Gianluca Cadenasso · Filippo Moroni
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianluca Cadenasso
Filippo Moroni
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gianluca Cadenasso
6-4 (W-L)
Filippo Moroni
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianluca Cadenasso 1487 · Filippo Moroni 1523
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Gianluca Cadenasso dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 41.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.9 | 12.7-11.9 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianluca Cadenasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Federico Cina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/05 | Liam Broady French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 02/05 | Matteo Arnaldi Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Filippo Moroni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 04/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianluca Cadenasso vs Filippo Moroni?
Our model gives 60% to Gianluca Cadenasso, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.