Tennis · M25 Kigali · 07/10, 10:00
Prediction: Dev Javia vs Rafael De Alba
Team pages: Dev Javia · Rafael De Alba
Prediction summary
Winner
Dev Javia
Rafael De Alba
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Dev Javia
7-3 (W-L)
Rafael De Alba
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dev Javia 1585 · Rafael De Alba 1427
| Dev Javia | Rafael De Alba | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dev Javia (rating 1585 vs 1427).
- Dev Javia is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dev Javia | Rafael De Alba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-7.4 | 7.5-12.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 49% | 24.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dev Javia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Preston Brown M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Lenny Petit M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Chen Dong M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Michal Krajci M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Marwan Ehab M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Aaron Funk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Rafael De Alba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nav Dayal M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Theodore Dean M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dev Javia vs Rafael De Alba?
Our model gives 78% to Dev Javia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.