Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 06/10, 09:00
Prediction: Summer Yardley vs Noemi La Cagnina
Team pages: Summer Yardley · Noemi La Cagnina
Prediction summary
Winner
Summer Yardley
Noemi La Cagnina
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Summer Yardley
3-7 (W-L)
Noemi La Cagnina
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Summer Yardley 1405 · Noemi La Cagnina 1504
| Summer Yardley | Noemi La Cagnina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noemi La Cagnina (rating 1405 vs 1504).
- Noemi La Cagnina is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Summer Yardley makes many double faults (7.4/match).
- Note: Noemi La Cagnina makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Summer Yardley | Noemi La Cagnina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.8-11.7 | 8.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 64.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Summer Yardley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Megan Mae Root W35 Reims |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 01/09 | Matylda Burylo W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Estella Jaeger UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Malkia Ngounoue UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Leticia Romanova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Clara Vlasselaer W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Swasthika Arunkumar W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Weronika Ewald W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Coco Bosman W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Noemi La Cagnina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Maria Rentoumi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Sherin Scheerle W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/09 | Anastasia Preda W15 Campulung |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Cecilia Manitto W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Sophie Greiner W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sophie Luescher W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 08/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Milica Stosovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 22/06 | NataliaNicole Constantin W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Summer Yardley vs Noemi La Cagnina?
Our model gives 75% to Noemi La Cagnina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.