Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Jessica Pieri vs Tena Lukas
Team pages: Jessica Pieri · Tena Lukas
Prediction summary
Winner
Jessica Pieri
Tena Lukas
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jessica Pieri
5-5 (W-L)
Tena Lukas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jessica Pieri 1549 · Tena Lukas 1503
| Jessica Pieri | Tena Lukas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jessica Pieri (rating 1549 vs 1503).
- Note: Tena Lukas makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Jessica Pieri | Tena Lukas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-8.7 | 8.3-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 53% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jessica Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Ginevra De Angelis WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Aneta Kucmova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Yana Morderger WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Valentina Steiner W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mina Hodzic W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Tena Lukas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 24/09 | Sara Cakarevic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Verena Meliss W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 13/09 | Madison Sieg WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Nastasja Schunk WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Aya Akan WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/08 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Joy De Zeeuw W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Lola Giza W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jessica Pieri vs Tena Lukas?
Our model gives 56% to Jessica Pieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.