Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Nellie Taraba Wallberg
Team pages: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur · Nellie Taraba Wallberg
Prediction summary
Winner
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Nellie Taraba Wallberg
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
7-3 (W-L)
Nellie Taraba Wallberg
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
1–0
Nellie Taraba Wallberg
(1 last)
- 12 Mar2-0 11-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1538 · Nellie Taraba Wallberg 1524
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Nellie Taraba Wallberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1–0 Nellie Taraba Wallberg (1).
- Note: Nellie Taraba Wallberg makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Nellie Taraba Wallberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.2 | 11.1-9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 63% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 66.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1 – 0 Nellie Taraba Wallberg (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1–0 Nellie Taraba Wallberg
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/25 W15 Antalya | 2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Marie Mettraux W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Clara Burel WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Neus Torner Sensano WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Francesca Pace W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
Nellie Taraba Wallberg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W50 Plovdiv |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Merel Hoedt W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Barbora Michalkova W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Anja Stankovic W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Melis Rasim W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Beatris Spasova W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Freya Peet W35 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 02/09 | Maria Golovina W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Bydgoszcz |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Lucie Petruzelova W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Nellie Taraba Wallberg?
Our model gives 61% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.