Prediction: Yaojie Zeng vs Nikolai Barsukov
Team pages: Yaojie Zeng · Nikolai Barsukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Yaojie Zeng
Nikolai Barsukov
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yaojie Zeng
4-6 (W-L)
Nikolai Barsukov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yaojie Zeng 1464 · Nikolai Barsukov 1492
| Yaojie Zeng | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yaojie Zeng dominates on serve: 6 aces and 45.5% break avg.
- Note: Nikolai Barsukov makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Yaojie Zeng | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.4 | 11.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 6 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaojie Zeng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Semen Pankin M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Aoran Wang Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 03/07 | Amirkhamza Nasridinov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Chun-Chien Hou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alexandr Binda M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Seonyong Han M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Yue Xia M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuquan Jin M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Christian Djonov M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Jakub Filip M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaojie Zeng vs Nikolai Barsukov?
Our model gives 53% to Nikolai Barsukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.