Tennis · WTA Suzhou · 06/10, 08:30
Prediction: Jia-Jing Lu vs Tamara Korpatsch
Team pages: Jia-Jing Lu · Tamara Korpatsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Jia-Jing Lu
Tamara Korpatsch
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Jia-Jing Lu
8-2 (W-L)
Tamara Korpatsch
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jia-Jing Lu 1527 · Tamara Korpatsch 1468
| Jia-Jing Lu | Tamara Korpatsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jia-Jing Lu (rating 1527 vs 1468).
Statistics
| Jia-Jing Lu | Tamara Korpatsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.9 | 9.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 58% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jia-Jing Lu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Zongyu Li WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Tiana Tian Deng W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Cheuk Ying Shek W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Eri Shimizu W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Tamara Korpatsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Taylah Preston WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Lilli Tagger US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Maya Joint WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Julia Stusek WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Linea Bajraliu WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jia-Jing Lu vs Tamara Korpatsch?
Our model gives 50% to Jia-Jing Lu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.