Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 05/10, 12:00

Prediction: Maayan Laron vs Maddalena Giordano

Team pages: Maayan Laron · Maddalena Giordano

Prediction summary
Winner
75% 25%
Maayan Laron Maddalena Giordano
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maayan Laron 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLWWLW
Maddalena Giordano 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maayan Laron 1511 · Maddalena Giordano 1427
Maayan LaronMaddalena Giordano
Our model62%38%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maayan Laron (rating 1511 vs 1427).
  • Maayan Laron is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Maddalena Giordano makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Maayan LaronMaddalena Giordano
Win %50%20%
Win % · Hard – 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-10.6-1.7
Games (G-P)11.1-8.19.8-12.1
Aces3.31.9
Double faults3.44.7
1st serve %69.7%55.9%
Break %50.2%48.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maayan Laron

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Beatris Spasova
W15 Varna
1-2 17-15 L
05/09 Ana Candiotto
W15 Porto Velho
1-2 16-14 L
04/09 Alisa Danilova
W15 Porto Velho
2-0 12-0 W
02/09 Bianca M B Bia Bernardes
W15 Porto Velho
2-0 12-1 W
26/08 Martina Capurro Taborda
W35 Barueri
0-2 2-12 L
21/08 Victoria Luiza Barros
W15 Campos do Jordao
0-2 7-12 L
20/08 Luana Plaza
W15 Campos do Jordao
2-0 12-4 W
18/08 Leticia Garcia Vidal
W15 Campos do Jordao
2-0 12-4 W
14/08 Luiza Fullana
W15 Campos do Jordao
0-2 9-13 L
13/08 Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe
W15 Campos do Jordao
2-0 12-6 W

Maddalena Giordano

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Ksenia Smirnova
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
30/09 Manon Favier
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
20/09 Chelsea Fontenel
W50 Yecla
1-2 13-16 L
01/09 Noemi Maines
W15 Fiano Romano
1-2 16-18 L
24/08 Cristina Pescucci
W35 Verbier Qual
0-2 4-12 L
19/08 Berta Passola
W35 Verbier
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Anastasiya Kuparev
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 8-13 L
12/07 Maria Torre Moral
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Georgina Hays
W35 Don Benito
0-2 7-12 L
22/06 Polina Isakova
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maayan Laron vs Maddalena Giordano?

Our model gives 75% to Maayan Laron, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.