Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 05/10, 12:30

Prediction: Matyas Cerny vs Dimitris Sakellaridis

Team pages: Matyas Cerny · Dimitris Sakellaridis

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Matyas Cerny Dimitris Sakellaridis
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Matyas Cerny 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLLWWLW
Dimitris Sakellaridis 6-4 (W-L)
LLWLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matyas Cerny 1517 · Dimitris Sakellaridis 1533
Matyas CernyDimitris Sakellaridis
Our model48%52%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Matyas CernyDimitris Sakellaridis
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.4-0.9
Games (G-P)10.7-10.112.3-10.2
Aces1.73.3
Double faults1.93.1
1st serve %66.9%64.1%
Break %37%55.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matyas Cerny

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Fabrizio Andaloro
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
26/09 Stepan Baum
M25 Pardubice
0-2 6-12 L
24/09 David Petrofsky
M25 Pardubice
2-0 12-8 W
22/09 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Pardubice
2-1 16-10 W
14/09 Johan Nikles
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/09 Filip Misolic
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
28/08 Daniel Michalski
M25 Poznan
0-2 5-12 L
27/08 Karol Filar
M25 Poznan
2-1 18-15 W
26/08 Milosz Sroka
M25 Poznan
2-0 11-0 W
17/08 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Dimitris Sakellaridis

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Robert Guna
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
28/09 Matthew William Donald
Challenger Bari · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
27/09 Filippo Francesco Garbero
Challenger Bari · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
27/09 Filippo Francesco Garbero
Challenger Bari · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
21/09 Lorenzo Berto
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 15-14 L
20/09 Alessandro Ceppellini
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Alex Marti Pujolras
Challenger Biella · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
13/09 Lorenzo Beraldo
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
11/09 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Pozzuoli
1-2 14-16 L
10/09 Antonio Marigliano
M25 Pozzuoli
2-1 17-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matyas Cerny vs Dimitris Sakellaridis?

Our model gives 55% to Matyas Cerny, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.