Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 05/10, 12:30
Prediction: Christian Langmo vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Team pages: Christian Langmo · Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Christian Langmo
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Christian Langmo
4-6 (W-L)
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Christian Langmo 1438 · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1557
| Christian Langmo | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksandr Ovcharenko (rating 1438 vs 1557).
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Christian Langmo | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-13 | 12-9.3 |
| Aces | 7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Christian Langmo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Dominik Recek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Felix Seres M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Christian Langmo vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Our model gives 66% to Oleksandr Ovcharenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.