Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 05/10, 12:30
Prediction: Filippo Moroni vs Ignacio Parisca Romera
Team pages: Filippo Moroni · Ignacio Parisca Romera
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Moroni
Ignacio Parisca Romera
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Moroni
5-5 (W-L)
Ignacio Parisca Romera
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Moroni 1490 · Ignacio Parisca Romera 1523
| Filippo Moroni | Ignacio Parisca Romera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Filippo Moroni | Ignacio Parisca Romera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.5 | 10.1-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Moroni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Lorenzo Ferri M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Ignacio Parisca Romera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/09 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alex Marti Pujolras M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 23/09 | Cian Maguire M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Alexander Petrov M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Moroni vs Ignacio Parisca Romera?
Our model gives 52% to Ignacio Parisca Romera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.