Tennis · M15 Pontevedra · 05/10, 13:00
Prediction: Luis Garcia Paez vs Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
Team pages: Luis Garcia Paez · Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Garcia Paez
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Garcia Paez
2-8 (W-L)
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Garcia Paez 1457 · Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas 1403
| Luis Garcia Paez | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Garcia Paez (rating 1457 vs 1403).
- Note: Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Luis Garcia Paez | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-10 | 6.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 46.5% |
| Break % | 31.8% | 28% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Garcia Paez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Bruno Pujol Navarro M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Karlo Filip Jukic M25 Montauban · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Maximo Nagele M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Sander Jong M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Santander |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Mikel Martinez M25 Santander |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 24/03 | Hugo Ruiz Rodriguez M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/02 | Miguel Semedo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/02 | Benjamin Gusic Wan UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/02 | Ondrej Hujo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/02 | Fred Gil UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Garcia Paez vs Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas?
Our model gives 58% to Luis Garcia Paez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.