Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 05/10, 11:00
Prediction: Federico Arnaboldi vs Kalin Ivanovski
Team pages: Federico Arnaboldi · Kalin Ivanovski
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Arnaboldi
Kalin Ivanovski
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Arnaboldi
4-6 (W-L)
Kalin Ivanovski
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Arnaboldi 1505 · Kalin Ivanovski 1559
| Federico Arnaboldi | Kalin Ivanovski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalin Ivanovski (rating 1505 vs 1559).
Statistics
| Federico Arnaboldi | Kalin Ivanovski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.7 | 11.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 5 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Arnaboldi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Andrea De Marchi Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Florian Broska Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Kalin Ivanovski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/09 | Claus Piening M25 Pardubice |
1-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 23/09 | Patrik Homola M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Ryo Tabata M25 Zlatibor |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 23/07 | Bor Artnak M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 4-7 | L |
| 22/07 | Aleksander Chayka M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Yanaki Milev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Liam Delicata M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Arnaboldi vs Kalin Ivanovski?
Our model gives 51% to Federico Arnaboldi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.