Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 05/10, 13:30
Prediction: Mika Buchnik vs Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Team pages: Mika Buchnik · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Buchnik
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Buchnik
9-1 (W-L)
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Buchnik 1598 · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 1502
| Mika Buchnik | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Buchnik (rating 1598 vs 1502).
- Mika Buchnik is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Mika Buchnik makes many double faults (8.6/match).
Statistics
| Mika Buchnik | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-6.5 | 10.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 8.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 62.8% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Buchnik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Marianne Angel Gonzalez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Kallista Liu W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Zyanya Saavedra Carrera W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Agustina Soto Neira W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Kallista Liu W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Misa Malkin W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Fernanda Torres Gomez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Isabella Foshee W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Isabella Kruger W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Melinda Biro W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Anastasia Efremova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 02/09 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Naomi McKenzie W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Jian Ibrahim W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Marie Mettraux W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Buchnik vs Maria F Herazo Gonzalez?
Our model gives 59% to Mika Buchnik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.