Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 05/10, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel Siniakov vs Yanaki Milev
Team pages: Daniel Siniakov · Yanaki Milev
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Siniakov
Yanaki Milev
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Siniakov
5-5 (W-L)
Yanaki Milev
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Siniakov 1484 · Yanaki Milev 1557
| Daniel Siniakov | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanaki Milev (rating 1484 vs 1557).
- Yanaki Milev is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Siniakov | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.3 | 13.5-10.7 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Siniakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Vaclav Schneider UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Lukas Velik UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Thiago Pernas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Yanaki Milev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Kirill Kivattsev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Siniakov vs Yanaki Milev?
Our model gives 52% to Daniel Siniakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.