Tennis · WTA Suzhou · 05/10, 07:00
Prediction: Elvina Kalieva vs Yexin Ma
Team pages: Elvina Kalieva · Yexin Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Elvina Kalieva
Yexin Ma
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Elvina Kalieva
3-7 (W-L)
Yexin Ma
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elvina Kalieva
2–1
Yexin Ma
(3 last)
- 14 Jan2-0 12-6W
- 04 Jul0-2 1-12L
- 25 Jul2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elvina Kalieva 1474 · Yexin Ma 1485
| Elvina Kalieva | Yexin Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elvina Kalieva 2–1 Yexin Ma (3).
- Note: Yexin Ma makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Elvina Kalieva | Yexin Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.9 | 12.3-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Elvina Kalieva 2 – 1 Yexin Ma (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elvina Kalieva 2–1 Yexin Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/26 Australian Open Women | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07/25 W100 Cary | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/07/24 ITF W50 Dallas | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elvina Kalieva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Han Shi WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Ellen Perez WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Kayla Day WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Lanlana Tararudee US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Sofia Costoulas US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Kristina Mladenovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Yexin Ma
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Harriet Dart WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Yufei Ren WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Emerson Jones WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Eunhye Lee WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Carol Zhao WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Tahlia Kokkinis W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 03/09 | Jiaqi Wang W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elvina Kalieva vs Yexin Ma?
Our model gives 52% to Elvina Kalieva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.