Tennis · WTA Suzhou · 05/10, 08:30

Prediction: Xinxin Yao vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Team pages: Xinxin Yao · Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Xinxin Yao Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Xinxin Yao 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWWL
Aliaksandra Sasnovich 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xinxin Yao 1488 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1522
Xinxin YaoAliaksandra Sasnovich
Our model45%55%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Xinxin YaoAliaksandra Sasnovich
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.31.2-1
Games (G-P)11.9-12.410.3-9.4
Aces1.93.1
Double faults2.33.2
1st serve %59.7%65.6%
Break %56.9%42.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xinxin Yao

LWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Maddison Inglis
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
21/09 Maya Joint
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
20/09 Miho Kuramochi
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
19/09 Priscilla Hon
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-1 20-18 W
15/09 Wushuang Zheng
W35 Shenyang
1-2 13-16 L
11/09 Alexandra Shubladze
W50 Guiyang
1-2 9-16 L
10/09 Ya-Yi Yang
W50 Guiyang
2-0 12-4 W
09/09 Sara Saito
W50 Guiyang
2-0 12-5 W
01/09 Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Tianjin
1-2 12-16 L
12/08 Rasheeda McAdoo
W50 Hamburg
1-2 8-16 L

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/09 Talia Gibson
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
29/09 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Junhan Zhang
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
23/09 Mirra Andreeva
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/09 Daria Kasatkina
WTA Singapore · Hard
2-0 13-5 W
27/08 Vendula Valdmannova
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 11-17 L
26/08 Dalma Galfi
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
13/08 Emiliana Arango
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
21/07 Maria Timofeeva
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xinxin Yao vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?

Our model gives 72% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.