Tennis · WTA Suzhou · 06/10, 04:00
Prediction: Emerson Jones vs Mai Hontama
Team pages: Emerson Jones · Mai Hontama
Prediction summary
Winner
Emerson Jones
Mai Hontama
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Emerson Jones
4-6 (W-L)
Mai Hontama
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emerson Jones 1482 · Mai Hontama 1492
| Emerson Jones | Mai Hontama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Emerson Jones | Mai Hontama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12 | 11.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 52% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Chenting Zhu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Haruka Kaji WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Suzan Lamens US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 11/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Mai Hontama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Katie Boulter WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jodie Anna Burrage WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Alexandra Panova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Eunhye Lee WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Lina Gjorcheska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Erika Andreeva W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emerson Jones vs Mai Hontama?
Our model gives 54% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.