Tennis · WTA Suzhou · 06/10, 04:00

Prediction: Moyuka Uchijima vs Zhuoxuan Bai

Team pages: Moyuka Uchijima · Zhuoxuan Bai

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Moyuka Uchijima Zhuoxuan Bai
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Moyuka Uchijima 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLWLLL
Zhuoxuan Bai 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moyuka Uchijima 1489 · Zhuoxuan Bai 1518
Moyuka UchijimaZhuoxuan Bai
Our model46%54%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Moyuka Uchijima makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Moyuka UchijimaZhuoxuan Bai
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.3-1
Games (G-P)11.8-12.410.8-9.5
Aces3.11.6
Double faults5.71.9
1st serve %69.3%64.2%
Break %44.8%52.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moyuka Uchijima

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Yeon Woo Ku
Asian Games
2-1 17-15 W
21/09 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
26/08 Lucie Havlickova
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
25/08 Polona Hercog
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/08 Harriet Dart
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
05/08 Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/08 Cristina Bucsa
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/08 Himeno Sakatsume
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/07 Maddison Inglis
WTA Vancouver · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
29/07 Hayu Kinoshita
WTA Vancouver · Hard
2-1 15-15 W

Zhuoxuan Bai

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
29/09 JiaYi Wang
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
28/09 Mina Hodzic
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/09 Sijia Wei
W35 Shenyang
1-2 16-18 L
15/09 Hong Yi Cody Wong
W35 Shenyang
2-0 13-9 W
09/09 Yufei Ren
W50 Guiyang
0-2 5-12 L
05/09 Joanna Garland
W75 Tianjin
0-2 4-12 L
04/09 Sofia Costoulas
W75 Tianjin
2-1 13-10 W
03/09 Mei Yamaguchi
W75 Tianjin
2-1 15-7 W
01/09 JiaYi Wang
W75 Tianjin
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moyuka Uchijima vs Zhuoxuan Bai?

Our model gives 51% to Moyuka Uchijima, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.