Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 06/10, 10:00
Prediction: Jay Clarke vs Gabriele Piraino
Team pages: Jay Clarke · Gabriele Piraino
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Clarke
Gabriele Piraino
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Clarke
5-5 (W-L)
Gabriele Piraino
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jay Clarke
0–1
Gabriele Piraino
(1 last)
- 24 Apr0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Clarke 1579 · Gabriele Piraino 1502
| Jay Clarke | Gabriele Piraino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jay Clarke (rating 1579 vs 1502).
- Head-to-head: Jay Clarke 0–1 Gabriele Piraino (1).
Statistics
| Jay Clarke | Gabriele Piraino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.2 | 10.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 38% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Jay Clarke 0 – 1 Gabriele Piraino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jay Clarke 0–1 Gabriele Piraino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/25 M25 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Clarke
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | John Sperle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Gabriele Piraino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 11/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/08 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Clarke vs Gabriele Piraino?
Our model gives 63% to Jay Clarke, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.