Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 06/10, 10:00
Prediction: Samuele Pieri vs Martin Krumich
Team pages: Samuele Pieri · Martin Krumich
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Pieri
Martin Krumich
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Pieri
5-5 (W-L)
Martin Krumich
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Samuele Pieri
0–1
Martin Krumich
(1 last)
- 07 Jul1-2 14-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Pieri 1550 · Martin Krumich 1505
| Samuele Pieri | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samuele Pieri (rating 1550 vs 1505).
- Samuele Pieri is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Samuele Pieri 0–1 Martin Krumich (1).
Statistics
| Samuele Pieri | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.4 | 10-10.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 27.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Samuele Pieri 0 – 1 Martin Krumich (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samuele Pieri 0–1 Martin Krumich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 Challenger Braunschweig | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Pieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Martin Krumich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Dominik Recek M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Kacper Knitter Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Pieri vs Martin Krumich?
Our model gives 53% to Martin Krumich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.