Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 04/10, 14:30
Prediction: Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Lorenzo Angelini
Team pages: Oleksandr Ovcharenko · Lorenzo Angelini
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Lorenzo Angelini
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Angelini
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1521 · Lorenzo Angelini 1463
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksandr Ovcharenko (rating 1521 vs 1463).
Statistics
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.8 | 9.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Felix Seres M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 28/09 | Garrett Johns Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/09 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Daniel Verbeek M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Steffan Van Weldam M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Stan Put M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Lorenzo Angelini?
Our model gives 63% to Oleksandr Ovcharenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.