Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 04/10, 14:30
Prediction: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Matyas Cerny
Team pages: Fabrizio Andaloro · Matyas Cerny
Prediction summary
Winner
Fabrizio Andaloro
Matyas Cerny
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Fabrizio Andaloro
7-3 (W-L)
Matyas Cerny
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fabrizio Andaloro 1536 · Matyas Cerny 1509
| Fabrizio Andaloro | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Fabrizio Andaloro | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10 | 10.7-10 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 67% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 35.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fabrizio Andaloro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 27/09 | Francesco Giuseppe Colasanto Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | John Echeverria M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 10/09 | Andrea Colombo M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Evan Galea M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Giulio Perego Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Matyas Cerny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | David Petrofsky M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Karol Filar M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Milosz Sroka M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 17/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fabrizio Andaloro vs Matyas Cerny?
Our model gives 53% to Matyas Cerny, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.