Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 04/10, 10:00

Prediction: Sebastiano Cocola vs Pedro Vives Marcos

Team pages: Sebastiano Cocola · Pedro Vives Marcos

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Sebastiano Cocola Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastiano Cocola 7-3 (W-L)
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Pedro Vives Marcos 6-4 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sebastiano Cocola 1495 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1524
Sebastiano CocolaPedro Vives Marcos
Our model46%54%
Market16%84%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Sebastiano CocolaPedro Vives Marcos
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.3-1
Games (G-P)10.7-10.912.3-11
Aces0.83.3
Double faults2.12.8
1st serve %58.9%69.4%
Break %41.2%34.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sebastiano Cocola

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Andrea De Marchi
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
17/09 Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/09 Nicolas Parizzia
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
15/09 Louis Wessels
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 14-15 W
14/09 Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
28/07 Lorenzo Comino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-9 L
21/07 Alessandro Bellifemine
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-12 L
17/07 Guglielmo Verdese
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
16/07 Nikola Jovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 17-10 W
15/07 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Pedro Vives Marcos

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Alejandro Moro Canas
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
01/10 Tim Handel
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
29/09 Sergi Fita Juan
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
24/09 Luka Talan Lopatic
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
23/09 Tim Handel
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
07/09 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
06/09 Imanol Lopez Morillo
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
05/09 Hugo Dellien
Challenger Porto · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/09 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 18-16 W
03/09 Niels Visker
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 17-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sebastiano Cocola vs Pedro Vives Marcos?

Our model gives 71% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.