Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 04/10, 10:00
Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Pietro Marino
Team pages: Gerard Campana Lee · Pietro Marino
Prediction summary
Winner
Gerard Campana Lee
Pietro Marino
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee
6-4 (W-L)
Pietro Marino
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gerard Campana Lee
1–0
Pietro Marino
(1 last)
- 04 Aug2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1591 · Pietro Marino 1491
| Gerard Campana Lee | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1591 vs 1491).
- Gerard Campana Lee is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Gerard Campana Lee 1–0 Pietro Marino (1).
Statistics
| Gerard Campana Lee | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.5 | 10.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Gerard Campana Lee 1 – 0 Pietro Marino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gerard Campana Lee 1–0 Pietro Marino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/26 Challenger Plovdiv | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gerard Campana Lee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Sander Jong M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/09 | Lorenzo Giustino M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 14/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Gabriele Bosio Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Pietro Marino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Mak Mikovic M15 Sibenik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Pablo Perez Navarro M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | David Munoz Sainz M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Budapest |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Buzau |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Pietro Marino?
Our model gives 74% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.