Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 04/10, 10:00
Prediction: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Yanaki Milev
Team pages: Oscar Jose Gutierrez · Yanaki Milev
Prediction summary
Winner
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Yanaki Milev
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
2-8 (W-L)
Yanaki Milev
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 1448 · Yanaki Milev 1545
| Oscar Jose Gutierrez | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanaki Milev (rating 1448 vs 1545).
- Yanaki Milev is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Oscar Jose Gutierrez makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Oscar Jose Gutierrez | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-12.3 | 13.7-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Asier Meneses Perny M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover M25 Santander |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ivan Iutkin M25 Santander |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 09/08 | Tom Zeuch Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Yanaki Milev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Kirill Kivattsev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Yanaki Milev?
Our model gives 68% to Yanaki Milev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.