Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 04/10, 11:30
Prediction: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Filippo Moroni
Team pages: Alex Marti Pujolras · Filippo Moroni
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Marti Pujolras
Filippo Moroni
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Marti Pujolras
6-4 (W-L)
Filippo Moroni
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Marti Pujolras 1539 · Filippo Moroni 1463
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Marti Pujolras (rating 1539 vs 1463).
- Alex Marti Pujolras is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.9 | 11.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Nico Hipfl M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Oleg Covian Roca de Togores Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Filippo Moroni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Lorenzo Ferri M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/04 | Matteo Martineau M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Marti Pujolras vs Filippo Moroni?
Our model gives 64% to Alex Marti Pujolras, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.